New Economic Model and Conceptual Directions for Increasing Russia’s Regional Budgets Sustainability

Margarita Vasyunina, Mikhail Kosov, Oksana Gorlova, Andrey Masterov, Khongor Zambaev, Elena Safronova, Nataliya Shmigol

Abstract


Objectives: This research aims to develop a new economic model and conceptual directions for increasing the sustainability of regional budgets in the Russian Federation. Methods: The research methodology is based on empirical methods (data collection, study, and comparison), methods of synthesizing theoretical and practical material, and mathematical and statistical analyses. When processing information, methods of systematization and grouping were used. The budgets of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation (BCERF) are the object of this study. The authors proposed grouping and revealed the consequences of the factor actions for the regions, leading to a reduction in income, an increase in the expenses of the BSRF, the need for government borrowing, etc. Findings: Conceptual directions for increasing the sustainability of regional budgets in the Russian Federation were proposed, such as eliminating the practice of subsidies in areas not defined by regulatory legal acts and improving the methodology for distributing subsidies for fiscal equalization, aimed at reducing the risks of underfinancing the expenditure obligations of a constituent entity of the Russian Federation (CERF). Novelty: The scientific novelty of this research includes the presentation of more effective mechanisms for controlling budgetary reserves and increasing the sustainability of regional budgets.

 

Doi: 10.28991/ESJ-2024-08-02-015

Full Text: PDF


Keywords


Economic Model; Sustainability of Regional Budgets; Budget Sustainability Assessment; Budget Management; Reserve Funds; Financial Recovery.

References


Sohag, K., Gainetdinova, A., & Mariev, O. (2023). Economic growth, institutional quality and deforestation: Evidence from Russia. Forest Policy and Economics, 150. doi:10.1016/j.forpol.2023.102949.

Alexeev, M., & Kurlyandskaya, G. (2003). Fiscal federalism and incentives in a Russian region. Journal of Comparative Economics, 31(1), 20–33. doi:10.1016/S0147-5967(02)00011-2.

Zubarevich, N. V., & Safronov, S. G. (2020). Russian Regions in the Acute Phase of the Coronavirus Crisis: Differences from Previous Economic Crises of the 2000s. Regional Research of Russia, 10(4), 443–453. doi:10.1134/S2079970520040115.

Alexeev, M., & Chernyavskiy, A. (2018). A tale of two crises: Federal transfers and regional economies in Russia in 2009 and 2014–2015. Economic Systems, 42(2), 175–185. doi:10.1016/j.ecosys.2017.07.002.

Barykin, S. E., Mikheev, A. A., Kiseleva, E. G., Putikhin, Y. E., Alekseeva, N. S., & Mikhaylov, A. (2022). An Empirical Analysis of Russian Regions’ Debt Sustainability. Economies, 10(5), 10050106. doi:10.3390/economies10050106.

Espolov, T., Espolov, A., Aitkozhina, D., Tireuov, K., Raiymbekov, S., & Suleimenov, Z. (2023). Comparing COVID-19 Budgeting Responses: New Budgeting Principles that Resulted from the Pandemic. Comparative Economic Research, 26(4), 7–25. doi:10.18778/1508-2008.26.28.

Malkina, M. Y. (2020). Assessment of the sustainability of budget revenues in the regions of the Russian Federation. Journal of Siberian Federal University - Humanities and Social Sciences, 13(4), 547–559. doi:10.17516/1997-1370-0588.

Meyliev, O., & Gofurova, K. (2023). Ways to Ensure the Stability of State Finances by Increasing Local Budget Revenues. Best Journal of Innovation in Science, Research and Development, 2(9), 123-128. doi:10.5281/zenodo.8386976.

Cherepovitsyn, A., Solovyova, V., & Dmitrieva, D. (2023). New challenges for the sustainable development of the rare-earth metals sector in Russia: Transforming industrial policies. Resources Policy, 81. doi:10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.103347.

Gryaznova, A. G. (2004). Financial and credit encyclopedic dictionary. Finance and Statistics, Moscow, Russian Federation.

Tukhbatullin, R. M. (2018). Financial sustainability of municipalities: factors of ensuring and assessment methodology: Ph.D. Thesis (Economics). Kazan Federal University, Kazan, Russia.

Alekhin, B. I. (2019). On the budget sustainability of the regions. Bulletin of the Russian State University for the Humanities. Series “Economics. Control. Law”, 2, 81-101.

Danilov, P. V. (2011). Improving methods for assessing the budgetary sustainability of municipal entities. PhD Thesis (Economics), Nizhny Novgorod Institute of Management (Branch of RANEPA), Nizhny Novgorod, Russia.

Nikiforova, A. A. (2007). Factors of financial sustainability and security of the local budget: abstract of the Ph.D. Thesis (Economics). Volgograd State University, Volgograd, Russia.

Karataev, S. M. (2003). Toward the concept of budget sustainability. Digest Finance, 5, 39-46.

Iyashvili, V. B., & Chichelev, M. E. (2016). On the principles of formation of budget policy and budget indicators. Chamber of Control and Accounts of Moscow. Available online: http://www.ksp.mos.ru/common/upload/news/docs/Principles_formation.pdf (accessed on March 2024).

Kutsuri, G. N., &Levdonsky, A. A. (2015). Features of the influence of the main factors on the financial stability of the budget. Economics and Entrepreneurship, 12(4), 80-84.

Shimshirt, N. D. (2013). Increasing the budget sustainability of the constituent entities of the federation as a strategic goal of increasing the efficiency of public finances. Bulletin of Tomsk State University, 2, 147-158.

Doronina, T. V. (1999). Financial and economic support for the sustainability of regional budgets. PhD Thesis, Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia.

Almazov, S. G. (2007). Improving the methodology for assessing the financial sustainability of local budgets. PhD Thesis, North Caucasus Institute of Humanities and Technology, Nevinnomyssk, Russia.

Panikin, V. E. (2009). Financial sustainability of the municipal budget in Russia. PhD Thesis, Volgograd State University, Volgograd, Russia.

Polyak, G. B. (2009). Budget system of Russia (2nd Ed.). UNITY-DANA, Moscow, Russia. (In Russian).

Kuznetsova, E. V. (2011). Methodological foundations and features for ensuring balanced budgets of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. Regional Economics: Theory and Practice, 12, 53-60.

Kuznetsova, E. V. (2011). Assessment of the quality of balanced budgets of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. Finance, 2, 15-19. (In Russian).

Fatalieva, Z. A. (2008). Formation of the regional budget in the context of the development of intergovernment relations. Ph.D. Thesis. Dagestan State University, Makhachkala, Russia.

Grachev, A. V. (2002). Analysis and management of the financial sustainability of the enterprise. Finpress Publishers, Moscow, Russian. (In Russian).

Edronova, V. N., & Kavinov, A. A. (2005). System of indicators for monitoring the sustainability of the regional financial system. Finance and Credit, 19, 4-11.

Sanakoev, A. Yu. (2020). Increasing the debt sustainability of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. PhD Thesis, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia.

Soldatkin, S. N. (2017). Debt Sustainability of Russian Regions: the Overall Assessment and the Adequacy of Regulation. Polythematic Online Scientific Journal of Kuban State Agrarian University, 128, 1–18. doi:10.21515/1990-4665-128-094.

Genoiro, H. (2005). General government debt sustainability in Slovenia. Bank of Slovenia Analysis & Research Department, Ljubljana, Slovenia. Available online: https://bankaslovenije.blob.core.windows.net/publication-files/nov_genorio57_88.pdf (accessed on March 2024).

Krejdl, A. (2006). Fiscal sustainability: definition, indicators and assessment of Czech public finance sustainability. Economic Research Department, Czech National Bank, Prague, Czech.

Bohn, H. (1995). The Sustainability of Budget Deficits in a Stochastic Economy. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 27(1), 257. doi:10.2307/2077862.

Bohn, H. (1998). The behavior of U. S. public debt and deficits. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 113(3), 948–963. doi:10.1162/003355398555793.

Galukhin, A. V. (2017). Managing the sustainability of the revenue base of the consolidated budgets of the constituent entities of the Federation (as exemplified by the constituent entities of the Northwestern Federal District). Ph.D. Thesis, Vologda Research Center of the RAS, Vologda, Russia.

Yashina, N. I. (2007). Comprehensive assessment of the budget sustainability of municipal entities regarding the integral trend index and the risk indicator of the region’s budget flows. Finance and Credit, 44, 25-35.

Tishutina, O. I. (2008). Methodology and strategy for ensuring the sustainability of the revenue base of the budgets of border constituent entities of the Russian Federation. PhD Thesis, Saratov Socio-Economic Institute, Saratov, Russia.

Mikheeva, T. N., & Kazakovtseva, M. V. (2012). Methodological instruments for assessing the financial sustainability of the regional budget revenue base. Innovative Development of the Economy, 2, 54-59.

Law of the Trans-Baikal Territory of 22.12.2022 No. 2134-ZZK. (2022). On the Budget of the Trans-Baikal Territory for 2023 and the target period of 2024 and 2025. Electronic fund legal and regulatory technical documents, St. Petersburg, Russia. Available online: https://docs.cntd.ru/document/406410788?ysclid=lmw08w5vg3556256956 (accessed on March 2024).

Krskstate (2021). Law of the Krasnoyarsk Territory of 09.12.2021 No. 2–255. On the Territorial Budget for 2022 and the target period of 2023–2024”. Available online: http://www.zakon.krskstate.ru/0/doc/82692?ysclid=lmw3kq0fg6465231593 (accessed on March 2024).

Krskstate (2022). Law of the Krasnoyarsk Territory of 09.12.2022 No. 4–1351. On the Territorial Budget for 2023 and the target period of 2024–2025. Available online: http://www.krskstate.ru/docs/0/doc/92290?ysclid=lmw3lhff61482025102 (accessed on March 2024).

ConsultantPlus. (2022). Law of the Moscow Region No. 252/2021-OZ. On the Budget of the Moscow Region for 2022 and the target period of 2023 and 2024. Available online: https://www.consultant.ru/regbase/cgi/online.cgi?BASENODE=14-3&req=doc&cacheid=3BE18073A5D6A72419797220D82692F5&mode=searchcard&rnd=sryjgqTwVy5CHXxk&base=MOB&n=370005#YL1kgqTq3ltY179k (accessed on March 2024). (In Russian).

ConsultantPlus. (2023). Law of Moscow Region No. 220/2022-OZ. On the Budget of the Moscow Region for 2023 and the target period of 2024 and 2025. Available online: https://www.consultant.ru/regbase/cgi/online.cgi?BASENODE=14-3&req=doc&cacheid=5A31A907579BADDA052394727E21C3A6&mode=searchcard&rnd=sryjgqTwVy5CHXxk&base=MOB&n=384494#SCCkgqT8GOebhlep (accessed on March 2024). (In Russian).

ConsultantPlus. (2021). Law of the city of Moscow of 24.11.2021 No. 33. On the Budget of the city of Moscow for 2022 and the target period of 2022 and 2024. Available online: https://www.consultant.ru/regbase/cgi/online.cgi?BASENODE=19-3&req=doc&cacheid=67984089EB27CB6B8C65DC28892EECB4&mode=searchcard&rnd=sryjgqTwVy5CHXxk&base=MLAW&n=216464#n0PkgqT2fxoo5fIu (accessed on March 2024).

Law of the city of Moscow of 02.11.2022 No. 30. (2022). On the Budget of the city of Moscow for 2023 and the target period of 2024 and 2025. Available online: https://www.consultant.ru/regbase/cgi/online.cgi?BASENODE=19-3&req=doc&cacheid= F812FA04F96B6F805897C727C56D9A77&mode=searchcard&rnd=bJRuBw&base=MLAW&n=226863#alekgqTFV1uXUKTA (accessed on March 2024).

Law of the Republic of Tatarstan of 25.11.2021 No. 86-ZRT. (2021). On the Budget of the Republic of Tatarstan for 2022 and the target period of 2023 and 2024. Electronic fund legal and regulatory technical documents, St. Petersburg, Russia. Available online: https://docs.cntd.ru/document/577964826?ysclid=lmw3j3ry1v445823284 (accessed on March 2024). (In Russian).

Law of the Republic of Tatarstan of 23.11.2022 No. 82-ZRT. (2022). On the Budget of the Republic of Tatarstan for 2023 and the target period of 2024 and 2025. Electronic fund legal and regulatory technical documents, St. Petersburg, Russia. Available online: https://docs.cntd.ru/document/406322461?ysclid=lmw3jnt0uq590375706 (accessed on March 2024). (In Russian).

Law of the Rostov Region of 16.12.2021 No. 635-ZS. (2021). On the Regional Budget for 2022 and the target period of 2023 and 2024. Electronic fund legal and regulatory technical documents, St. Petersburg, Russia. Available online: https://docs.cntd.ru/document/578017776?ysclid=lmxfclm1c291091552 (accessed on March 2024). (In Russian).

Law of the Rostov Region of 16.12.2022 No. 6795-ZS. (2022). On the Regional Budget for 2023 and the target period of 2024 and 2025. Electronic fund legal and regulatory technical documents, St. Petersburg, Russia. Available online: https://docs.cntd.ru/document/406411678?ysclid=lmxffwg5d2280692482 (accessed on March 2024). (In Russian).

Law of the Sverdlovsk Region of 08.12.2021 No. 111-OZ. (2021). On the Regional Budget for 2022 and the target period of 2023 and 2024. Electronic fund legal and regulatory technical documents, St. Petersburg, Russia. Available online: https://docs.cntd.ru/document/577998291?ysclid=lmwcfruymd184143176 (accessed on March 2024). (In Russian).

Law of the Sverdlovsk Region of 07.12.2022 No. 137-OZ. (2022). On the Regional Budget for 2023 and the target period of 2024 and 2025. Electronic fund legal and regulatory technical documents, St. Petersburg, Russia. Available online: https://docs.cntd.ru/document/406380321?ysclid=lmwc655k6552195748 (accessed on March 2024). (In Russian).

Bank of Russia Statistical Bulletin (2021). Law of the Khabarovsk Territory of 10.11.2021 No. 247. On the Territorial Budget for 2022 and the target period of 2023 and 2024, Moscow, Russia Federation. Available online: https://minfin.khabkrai.ru/portal/Show/Content/4272?ParentItemId=227 (accessed on March 2024).

Bank of Russia Statistical Bulletin (2022). Law of the Khabarovsk Territory of 21.11.2022 No. 334. On the Territorial Budget for 2023 and the target period of 2024 and 2025, Moscow, Russia Federation. Available online: https://minfin.khabkrai.ru/portal/Show/Content/5446?ParentItemId=227 (accessed on March 2024).

Law of the Trans-Baikal Territory of 27.12.2021 No. 2007-ZZK. (2021). On the Budget of the Trans-Baikal Territory for 2022 and the target period of 2023 and 2024. Electronic fund legal and regulatory technical documents, St. Petersburg, Russia. Available online: https://docs.cntd.ru/document/578050420?ysclid=lmw08d22h596801629 (accessed on March 2024). (In Russian).

Conclusion of the Accounts Chamber of the Russian Federation on the results of an external audit of execution of the Federal Law. On the Federal Budget for 2022 and the Target Period of 2023 and 2024 and Budget Reporting on the Execution of the Federal Budget for 2022 in the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation. Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia. Available online: https://ach.gov.ru/upload/iblock/4b3/w5svf50iknpfvrmnjks11n4yhj9xkfuq.pdf (accessed on March 2024). (In Russian).

ConsultantPlus. (1998). Budget Code of the Russian Federation dated 31.07.1998 Law 145-FZ. Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia. Available online: https://www.consultant.ru/cons/cgi/online.cgi?req=doc&rnd=1yFzMA&base=LAW&n=454253& cacheid=FE0FDDB17C31AA051BE232639AEFA6C6&mode=rubr#IcSVmqTiwX3tAVlJ1 (accessed on March 2024).

Naydenova, T. A., &Shvetsova, I. N. (2017). Methodological instruments for assessing the financial sustainability of budgets of constituent entities of the Russian Federation. Socio-Economic Sciences, 2, 222-233.

Kazakovtseva, M. V. (2022). Methodological support for the financial sustainability of the revenue base of the budgets of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. Ph.D. Thesis, Volga State University of Technology, Yoshkar-Ola, Russian.

Zhuravleva, T., Semenova, E., & Goltsova, O. (2021). Financial Stability of Regional Budgets in Conditions of Cyclic Development of the Russian Economy. Part 2. Regional Economy: South of Russia, 4, 166–180. doi:10.15688/re.volsu.2021.4.16.

Tukhbatullin, R. M. (2016). Comprehensive assessment of the financial sustainability of municipal budgets using correlation analysis. Bulletin of Economics, Law and Sociology, 2, 121-125.

Gladkovskaya, E. N., Tsalo, I. M., & Teterkina, L. B. (2017). Assessment of financial stability of regional budgets in Russia: methodology and algorithm of its application. Management, 6, 119-131.

Uskova, T. V., & Galukhin, A. V. (2015). Managing the financial sustainability of the revenue base of regional budgets: theoretical and methodological aspects. Problems of Territory Development, 5, 135-147.

Zotova, A. I., & Kirichenko, M. V. (2017). Sustainability of the regional financial system: essence, factors, indicators. Theory and Practice of Social Development, 5, 76-82.

Mikhailova, A. A., & Timushev, E. N. (2020). Russia’s budget system: how stable is it? Economic Journal of the Higher School of Economics, 4, 572-597. (In Russian).

Shekhovtsova, Yu. A. (2012). Application of the indicative method to assess the investment security of the region. Regional Studies, 2, 53-61. (In Russian).

Xiang, H., Lu, J., Kosov, M. E., Volkova, M. V., Ponkratov, V. V., Masterov, A. I., Elyakova, I. D., Popkov, S. Y., Taburov, D. Y., Lazareva, N. V., Muda, I., Vasiljeva, M. V., & Zekiy, A. O. (2023). Sustainable Development of Employee Lifecycle Management in the Age of Global Challenges: Evidence from China, Russia, and Indonesia. Sustainability (Switzerland), 15(6), 4987. doi:10.3390/su15064987.

iMonitoring (2024). Selected indicators of budget execution of constituent entities of the Russian Federation. Available online: https://www.iminfin.ru/areas-of-analysis/budget/otdelnye-pokazateli-ispolneniya?territory=45000000 (accessed on March 2024).

Karavaeva, O. A., & Litvinenko, E. N. (2020). Increasing the sustainability of regional budgets in conditions of disinflation. Economics and Entrepreneurship, 4, 292-295.

Trehan, B., & Walsh, C. E. (1988). Common trends, the government’s budget constraint, and revenue smoothing. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12(2–3), 425–444. doi:10.1016/0165-1889(88)90048-6.


Full Text: PDF

DOI: 10.28991/ESJ-2024-08-02-015

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Copyright (c) 2024 Margarita Vasyunina, Mikhail Kosov, Oksana Gorlova, Andrey Masterov, Elena Safronova, Nataliya Shmigol